Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 318.433083 361.123486 408.753546 466.079675 533.526589 610.753091 706.430753
2025-06-29 253.303963 308.322996 375.326911 463.897549 579.349194 726.773605 932.607941
2025-07-06 210.676981 267.663845 340.898003 443.606065 586.701596 783.285285 1081.535567
2025-07-13 193.859701 255.661325 338.929431 462.080048 644.458221 912.823628 1354.050329
2025-07-20 181.713232 247.454842 339.740963 482.783203 706.592043 1057.426141 1679.833971
2025-07-27 167.057107 233.526061 330.032525 485.586603 740.598325 1162.847972 1964.297777
2025-08-03 151.207563 215.913309 312.487045 473.280009 747.424873 1223.115864 2180.909625
2025-08-10 138.570782 201.720606 298.372070 464.176794 757.408318 1289.307710 2423.203808
2025-08-17 132.593980 197.068821 298.471844 478.214141 809.266954 1440.557476 2877.726077
2025-08-24 124.195081 187.750270 289.972533 476.167137 831.035237 1537.308829 3240.192601
2025-08-31 115.748217 177.597941 279.052744 468.357078 840.364910 1610.038261 3566.943370
2025-09-07 109.923075 171.254769 273.924110 470.365166 869.037089 1728.729869 4044.359160
2025-09-14 102.336262 161.538463 262.393788 459.621676 871.374698 1792.568254 4407.093456
2025-09-21 96.829595 154.982486 255.911970 457.955133 892.871958 1905.946093 4954.230419
2025-09-28 89.253403 144.263587 241.006870 437.929690 871.270062 1910.771274 5176.966349
2025-10-05 87.566591 143.793656 244.813335 456.119915 938.310822 2153.148505 6262.346578
2025-10-12 86.209317 143.782863 249.428418 476.495451 1013.991842 2438.043709 7643.578625
2025-10-19 82.815257 139.780638 246.025509 479.254401 1047.469568 2614.563688 8717.953164
2025-10-26 78.018371 132.847411 236.345649 467.142810 1041.715086 2675.355885 9357.759245
2025-11-02 73.941429 127.018899 228.428449 458.183137 1042.865271 2758.089021 10143.076461
2025-11-09 72.512737 126.137500 230.377679 471.998888 1106.812474 3056.807227 12124.707448
2025-11-16 69.608989 122.213193 225.786299 469.984288 1127.163649 3217.994715 13543.325272
2025-11-23 66.375353 117.451154 219.110636 462.297581 1130.379458 3321.600269 14733.242939